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CZ Alpha

Equity · Stocks · Started Mar 2026

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
1.6%
Max Drawdown
12.3%
Trades
252
Win Trades
44.4%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
42.9%
Subscribe $55/mo

About this strategy

CombustionZone Alpha is a multi-strategy portfolio designed to capture short-term momentum across high-liquidity assets tied to digital innovation and market volatility. By combining multiple complementary strategies into a single system, the goal is to enhance return potential while smoothing performance across different market conditions.

Each trade is driven by a rules-based framework focused on identifying favorable risk/reward opportunities and executing with discipline. The system emphasizes consistency, active risk management, and frequent opportunities to compound returns over time.

Key characteristics:

Multi-strategy approach to diversify across different market behaviors
Systematic execution with clearly defined entries and exits
Active trading cadence designed to capture short-term opportunities
Automated compatibility with supported brokerage platforms

This strategy is best suited for investors who:

Are comfortable with active trading and short-term positions
Understand that performance will vary with market conditions
Prefer a systematic, rules-based approach over discretionary trading

All trades are executed transparently and in real time, allowing subscribers to follow or automate execution through supported platforms.

For a more stable, long-only approach, see CombustionZone TQQQ/AKRB. For a futures strategy, see CombustionZone Futures.

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2026-0.82.94.0-5.4-5.610.5-2.91.6

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/22/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age6 months
C2 Rank925
Rank at C2 %Top 7.5%
Rank ##122
What it tradesStocks
# Trades252
# Profitable112
% Profitable44.4%
Avg trade duration1.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown12.3%
drawdown periodApril 20, 2026 - Aug 03, 2026
Cumul. Return1.6%
Avg win$157
Avg loss$110

Ratios

W:L ratio1.14
Sharpe Ratio0.22
Sortino Ratio0.33
Calmar Ratio1.49

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.32
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life19.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-17.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)3.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)13.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity6.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss15.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)415
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)797
C2 Score925
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)636

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187502
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$110
Avg Win$157
# Winners112
Sum Trade PL (losers)$15,439
Sum Trade PL (winners)$17,584
Num Months Winners4
# Losers140
% Winners44.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct3

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table7

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1479.77
Avg Position Time (hrs)24.66
Avg Trade Length1
Last Trade Ago1

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.61
Daily leverage (max)1.89

Regression

Alpha-0.02
Beta0.39
Treynor Index0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-257.02
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.22
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats65.17
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats87.13
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.30
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.28
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.00

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.12
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.58
df5
t0.48
p0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.37
Sortino ratio1.22
Upside Potential Ratio3.19
Upside part of mean0.30
Downside part of mean-0.19
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms2
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.02
r0.77
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.23
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error4
t(b)2.39
p(b)0.04
t(a)-1.03
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.39
Treynor index (mean / b)0.10
Jensen alpha (a)-0.23
Mean0.10
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.52
df5
t0.43
p0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.31
Sortino ratio1.06
Upside Potential Ratio3.03
Upside part of mean0.30
Downside part of mean-0.19
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms2
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.77
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.24
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error4
t(b)2.42
p(b)0.04
t(a)-1.09
p(a)0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)0.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.24
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.11
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.70
df131
t0.50
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.46
Sortino ratio1.10
Upside Potential Ratio8.79
Upside part of mean0.90
Downside part of mean-0.79
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms67
N of observations132
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error130
t(b)3.98
p(b)0.34
t(a)-0.04
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.10
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.62
df131
t0.44
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.14
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.38
Sortino ratio0.97
Upside Potential Ratio8.63
Upside part of mean0.90
Downside part of mean-0.80
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms67
N of observations132
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error130
t(b)3.99
p(b)0.33
t(a)-0.09
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.25
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.11
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.70
df130
t0.50
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.47
Sortino ratio1.11
Upside Potential Ratio8.82
Upside part of mean0.91
Downside part of mean-0.80
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms66
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)3.97
p(b)0.29
t(a)-0.06
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.10
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.63
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.62
df130
t0.44
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.40
Sortino ratio0.97
Upside Potential Ratio8.67
Upside part of mean0.90
Downside part of mean-0.80
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms66
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)3.98
p(b)0.29
t(a)-0.10
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.25
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.95
Quartile 10.97
Median1.02
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations132
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.04
Median0.04
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-414043264
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)105
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.14
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.67
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.67
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.61
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.49
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.49
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.86
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.50
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.50
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.89

Trading record

Placed 544 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TSLL long578Sep 22, 2026Sep 22, 2026($86)
TSLL long598Sep 21, 2026Sep 21, 2026$85
ETHA long198Sep 18, 2026Sep 21, 2026$248
ARKK long109Sep 18, 2026Sep 21, 2026$351
ARKF long211Sep 18, 2026Sep 21, 2026$316
ARKK long110Sep 17, 2026Sep 18, 2026$41
ARKF long215Sep 17, 2026Sep 17, 2026($29)
TSLL long579Sep 17, 2026Sep 17, 2026($150)
ETHA long212Sep 17, 2026Sep 17, 2026$2
ARKK long116Sep 16, 2026Sep 16, 2026($98)
TSLL long613Sep 16, 2026Sep 16, 2026($163)
ARKF long218Sep 14, 2026Sep 15, 2026($139)
ETHA long209Sep 14, 2026Sep 15, 2026($177)
ARKK long118Sep 14, 2026Sep 15, 2026($144)
COIN long53Sep 14, 2026Sep 15, 2026($416)
TSLL long634Sep 14, 2026Sep 15, 2026($78)
ARKK long120Sep 11, 2026Sep 11, 2026($50)
ARKF long222Sep 11, 2026Sep 11, 2026($94)
TSLL long622Sep 11, 2026Sep 11, 2026($45)
COIN long56Sep 11, 2026Sep 11, 2026($330)
ETHA long217Sep 10, 2026Sep 11, 2026$228
ARKK long121Sep 10, 2026Sep 11, 2026$42
TSLL long620Sep 10, 2026Sep 11, 2026($126)
ETHA long217Sep 8, 2026Sep 9, 2026($4)
COIN long56Sep 9, 2026Sep 9, 2026($137)
ARKK long117Sep 8, 2026Sep 9, 2026($120)
ARKF long217Sep 4, 2026Sep 8, 2026($186)
COST long2Sep 3, 2026Sep 4, 2026($17)
ETHA long219Sep 3, 2026Sep 4, 2026($13)
COIN long53Sep 3, 2026Sep 4, 2026($252)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.