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NEURAL STARK STRATEGY

Futures · Futures · Started Oct 2025

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
33.9%
Max Drawdown
10.1%
Trades
61
Win Trades
78.7%
Profit Factor
4.20
Win Months
69.2%
Subscribe $80/mo

About this strategy

The strategy is looking at trends and specific levels of interest. The investment process is split between two processes short term trading (scalping) and position trading which can provide higher yields. We follow 30 financial and commodity markets in total on the software.

Commodities Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20250.66.0-3.92.5
202617.60.55.2-0.60.6-1.4-4.17.42.80.730.6

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/16/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$70,000
Age12 months
C2 Rank959
Rank at C2 %Top 4.1%
Rank ##28
What it tradesFutures
# Trades61
# Profitable48
% Profitable78.7%
Avg trade duration15.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown10.1%
drawdown periodJune 10, 2026 - Aug 04, 2026
Cumul. Return33.9%
Avg win$513
Avg loss$449

Ratios

W:L ratio4.21
Sharpe Ratio1.68
Sortino Ratio3.14
Calmar Ratio4.92

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life17.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)16.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)34.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)38.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.1%
Percent Trades Futures0.8%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.1%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss5.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)721
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)825
C2 Score959
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)848

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$449
Avg Win$513
# Winners48
Sum Trade PL (losers)$5,842
Sum Trade PL (winners)$24,623
Num Months Winners9
# Losers13
% Winners78.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table13

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)22115.93
Avg Position Time (hrs)368.60
Avg Trade Length15.40
Last Trade Ago4

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.78
Daily leverage (max)8.34

Regression

Alpha0.08
Beta-0.03
Treynor Index-2.54

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.16
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)13.76
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.21
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.62
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.46

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.31
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.13
df10
t2.21
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.39
Sortino ratio7.20
Upside Potential Ratio8.63
Upside part of mean0.37
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms3
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.01
r-0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.37
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error9
t(b)-1.16
p(b)0.86
t(a)2.52
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.70
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.76
Jensen alpha (a)0.37
Mean0.30
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.10
df10
t2.18
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.14
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.35
Sortino ratio6.81
Upside Potential Ratio8.23
Upside part of mean0.36
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms3
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.30
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.01
r-0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.35
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error9
t(b)-1.15
p(b)0.86
t(a)2.48
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.68
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.75
Jensen alpha (a)0.35
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.32
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.03
df250
t1.99
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.04
Sortino ratio4.51
Upside Potential Ratio11.23
Upside part of mean0.79
Downside part of mean-0.47
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms117
N negative terms134
N of observations251
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.32
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error249
t(b)-0.61
p(b)0.73
t(a)2.03
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.64
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.80
Jensen alpha (a)0.32
Mean0.30
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.00
df250
t1.96
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.01
Sortino ratio4.30
Upside Potential Ratio11.00
Upside part of mean0.78
Downside part of mean-0.47
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms117
N negative terms134
N of observations251
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.30
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error249
t(b)-0.62
p(b)0.73
t(a)1.99
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.62
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.10
SD0.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.15
df130
t0.82
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.62
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.93
Sortino ratio2.08
Upside Potential Ratio10.17
Upside part of mean0.47
Downside part of mean-0.38
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms55
N negative terms76
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.08
Covariance-0.00
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.36
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.02
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.36
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
Mean0.09
SD0.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.12
df130
t0.79
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.89
Sortino ratio2.00
Upside Potential Ratio10.08
Upside part of mean0.47
Downside part of mean-0.38
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms55
N negative terms76
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.09
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.08
Covariance-0.00
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.37
p(b)0.58
t(a)0.99
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.20
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.35
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.17
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-17.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations251
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.39
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations24
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.71
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.74
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.78
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24
Extreme Value Index (regression method)7.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.83
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-368485088
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)55
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.38
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.38
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)7.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.96
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.48
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.39
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.39
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.92
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.04
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal21.85
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.12
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.13
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.61
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.65
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal12.66

Trading record

Placed 13 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@QM Z6long1Oct 2, 2026Oct 2, 2026$192
@QM Z6long1Oct 2, 2026Oct 2, 2026$280
@MNQ Z6short1Sep 22, 2026Sep 24, 2026$959
@MNQ H7long1Sep 22, 2026Sep 23, 2026$1
@MYM Z6short3Sep 17, 2026Sep 17, 2026$83
@MYM U6short7Aug 10, 2026Sep 15, 2026$2,024
MP long100Jun 25, 2026Aug 17, 2026$124
@QM V6long2Aug 4, 2026Aug 10, 2026$1,847
@MYM U6short5Jun 17, 2026Jul 7, 2026($1,648)
IONQ long100Jun 25, 2026Jun 30, 2026$274
SPCX long100Jun 23, 2026Jun 23, 2026$128
@MYM U6short12Apr 28, 2026Jun 14, 2026($661)
@QM Q6long1Jun 14, 2026Jun 14, 2026($458)
MP long200May 14, 2026May 22, 2026$978
@MYM U6short1Apr 22, 2026Apr 24, 2026($43)
@MYM U6short5Apr 19, 2026Apr 22, 2026($691)
@QM N6long1Apr 17, 2026Apr 17, 2026$242
@QM N6long2Apr 17, 2026Apr 17, 2026($3)
@MYM M6short3Apr 10, 2026Apr 17, 2026($864)
@QM M6long1Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026$217
@QM M6long1Apr 14, 2026Apr 14, 2026$442
@QM M6long1Apr 13, 2026Apr 13, 2026$142
@QG K6long1Apr 9, 2026Apr 9, 2026($8)
MP long100Mar 31, 2026Apr 2, 2026$238
@QM K6long1Mar 16, 2026Mar 16, 2026$592
MP long200Mar 9, 2026Mar 16, 2026($18)
MP long100Mar 6, 2026Mar 9, 2026($21)
@MYM M6short2Mar 4, 2026Mar 5, 2026$408
@MYM H6long2Mar 1, 2026Mar 3, 2026$152
@MYM H6short2Feb 26, 2026Mar 1, 2026$742

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.